Reading Decoder Trajectories: Training-Free Counterfactual Query-Trajectory Reliability for Small-Object Detection

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Small-object detection remains challenging because limited pixels cause information loss and suppress the scale knowledge encoded in pretrained detectors. Existing approaches mainly improve representations through multiscale training, architecture redesign, or parameter adaptation, implicitly assuming that frozen models lack the required capability. We challenge this assumption and hypothesize that small-object knowledge already exists in frozen detectors but remains underactivated and unstable during query evolution. To test this hypothesis, we propose Counterfactual Query-Trajectory Reliability (CQTR), a training-free framework that elicits latent responses through counterfactual scale interventions and interprets candidate reliability from decoder-internal spatial convergence, semantic persistence, and cross-scale conflicts. A small unlabeled training subset selects the appropriate correction mechanism for each model-data stream, without parameter updates or target-domain annotations. Across 27 combinations of nine frozen detectors and three datasets, CQTR consistently improves average precision (AP) and average precision for small objects (APs). Closed-loop analyses further show that scale intervention activates latent responses, trajectory evidence predicts ground-truth support, and unlabeled routing selects the more effective branch. CQTR therefore reframes small-object detection from external scale augmentation to the activation and reliability assessment of latent scale knowledge.