Kim-Dung Tran, Dang-Man Nguyen, Vu-Linh Nguyen, Xuan-Truong Hoang, Sébastien Destercke, Huynh Van-Nam · arXiv (Cornell University) 2026 · 2026
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2610.05332
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This paper tackles visible challenges in deep ensemble learning, where deep neural networks serve as ensemble members: training and storage burdens, and robustness of cautious (set-valued) predictions targeting multiple utilities, which may involve reward-sensitivity. To mitigate the training and storage burdens, we propose to employ compact ensembles, such as Bayesian Neural Networks and Convolutional Neural Networks with the Monte-Carlo dropout prediction option, to produce probabilistic predictions. For each query instance, these probabilistic predictions are then used to define a representative distribution optimizing some statistical distance. The representative distribution is then employed to define the Bayes-optimal prediction (BOP) of any utility. To address the potential unrobustness of singleton prediction making, we propose a family of set-utilities satisfying some desirable properties and whose set-valued BOPs can be found efficiently. Empirical evidence is then given to illustrate the potential (dis)advantages of the proposed ensemble learning framework.
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