Hierarchical GTV Estimation: Bridging the Gap between Container-Level Ranking and Item-Level Conversion

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Emerging e-commerce platforms, such as live-streaming and Online-to-Offline (O2O) services, inherently operate under a "Container-based" display paradigm. In this setting, a critical granularity mismatch exists: the platform performs ranking and estimation at the container level (e.g., livestream rooms or stores), whereas the actual transactions occur at the item level within these containers. This structural discrepancy complicates Gross Transaction Value (GTV) estimation, introducing unique challenges including high label variance, severe label sparsity, and dynamic item heterogeneity. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework named Hierarchical GTV Estimation (HGE). HGE employs a Hybrid Set-Aware Encoder (HSAE) to model the dynamic composition of items and feature interactions. To mitigate label variance, we introduce a Proxy-Label Learning (PLL) strategy that decomposes post-click GTV into purchase probability, quantity, and unit price. Furthermore, a Residual Correction and Ensemble Fusion (RCEF) module is designed to handle label sparsity by effectively combining item-level aggregation with container-level inference. Extensive experiments on large-scale industrial datasets demonstrate that HGE significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving a +0.63% lift in XAUC offline and a +1.42% increase in Revenue Per Search (RPS) in online A/B tests. HGE framework has been fully deployed into our main traffic.