SERA: Scale-Equalized Rollout Allocation for Maximum Likelihood Reinforcement Learning

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Maximum Likelihood Reinforcement Learning (MaxRL) targets prompt-wise log-success and has shown strong performance on reasoning tasks. Under finite rollout budgets, however, the estimator used by MaxRL attenuates each prompt's likelihood gradient by a factor that depends on its success probability and rollout count. Under uniform rollout allocation, the common rollout count fails to compensate for success-dependent attenuation, leaving low-success prompts more strongly attenuated and distorting their relative contributions to the expected aggregate gradient. We introduce SERA (Scale-Equalized Rollout Allocation), which redistributes a fixed rollout budget to approximately equalize these finite-rollout scaling factors. Building on our theoretical analysis of how finite rollouts distort prompt-wise likelihood gradients, we formulate the allocation as a fixed-budget max--min problem, derive a waterline solution to its continuous relaxation, and introduce a multiplicity correction to remove the additional prompt weighting induced by heterogeneous rollout counts. Experiments show stronger alignment with exact likelihood gradients in a controlled ImageNet setting and improved multi-sample solution coverage over MaxRL on maze navigation and mathematical reasoning under matched training rollout budgets.