ASCT: Attentive Search over Counterfactual Trees for Credit Assignment in Agentic Reinforcement Learning

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Terminal utility evaluates a complete agentic workflow, but learning requires credit for the decisions within it. We introduce Attentive Search over Counterfactual Trees (ASCT), a framework that turns training-time multi-step search into local action credit. At actor-visited states, an auxiliary tree evaluates alternative legal actions from the same recoverable prefix. Its action-value table is centered by the frozen actor's probabilities and supplies credit for PPO on actor-sampled trajectories. This protocol connects counterfactual evaluation to policy learning while deploying the actor alone. Uniform, UCT, and cost-aware AgentUCT instantiate the framework. On HotpotQA agentic retrieval-augmented generation, all three improve mean held-out utility over trajectory-return PPO and workflow-adapted VinePPO. Across three seeds, ASCT-AgentUCT reaches 0.6187 utility versus 0.5939 for VinePPO, with gains in answer F1 and execution cost, and uses 50.3% fewer recorded auxiliary Qwen tokens. Transfer and component-description studies examine the learned policies beyond the training setting.