Pre-retrieval Query Clustering for Adaptive Top-k Document Retrieval in RAG Systems

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RAG systems commonly retrieve a fixed number of documents (top-k) to ground generation, but this static approach is brittle: simple queries suffer over-retrieval (adding noise and cost) while complex queries are under-retrieved, causing recall failures that cascade into incorrect answers. Motivated by the question of how many documents must be retrieved to answer an arbitrary query reliably, we propose a practical, general framework for query-adaptive retrieval depth. Offline, we estimate per-query retrieval difficulty by measuring NDCG under the default retriever and deriving a query-specific "saturation" point k* from the NDCG-k curve. Because computing these signals online is expensive, we cluster a large set of queries in embedding space and summarize each cluster with a recommended retrieval depth that targets high coverage (e.g., \textasciitilde{}95\%) using a mean-plus-variance rule. At runtime, the system assigns an incoming query to a cluster and selects the corresponding top-k in constant time. Compared with post-retrieval confidence methods that rely on clustering retrieved documents, our approach is pre-retrieval and query-centric, making it robust in heterogeneous, case-like corpora and applicable across domains such as legal, healthcare, finance, and enterprise search. Finally, this framework has been tested in full-traffic queries that improved $F_1$ by over 36\% while reducing token usage by 14\% on low-complexity clusters without accuracy loss.